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1.
N Engl J Med ; 390(4): 338-345, 2024 Jan 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38265645

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Hospitals can leverage their position between the ultimate buyers and sellers of drugs to retain a substantial share of insurer pharmaceutical expenditures. METHODS: In this study, we used 2020-2021 national Blue Cross Blue Shield claims data regarding patients in the United States who had drug-infusion visits for oncologic conditions, inflammatory conditions, or blood-cell deficiency disorders. Markups of the reimbursement prices were measured in terms of amounts paid by Blue Cross Blue Shield plans to hospitals and physician practices relative to the amounts paid by these providers to drug manufacturers. Acquisition-price reductions in hospital payments to drug manufacturers were measured in terms of discounts under the federal 340B Drug Pricing Program. We estimated the percentage of Blue Cross Blue Shield drug spending that was received by drug manufacturers and the percentage retained by provider organizations. RESULTS: The study included 404,443 patients in the United States who had 4,727,189 drug-infusion visits. The median price markup (defined as the ratio of the reimbursement price to the acquisition price) for hospitals eligible for 340B discounts was 3.08 (interquartile range, 1.87 to 6.38). After adjustment for drug, patient, and geographic factors, price markups at hospitals eligible for 340B discounts were 6.59 times (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.02 to 7.16) as high as those in independent physician practices, and price markups at noneligible hospitals were 4.34 times (95% CI, 3.77 to 4.90) as high as those in physician practices. Hospitals eligible for 340B discounts retained 64.3% of insurer drug expenditures, whereas hospitals not eligible for 340B discounts retained 44.8% and independent physician practices retained 19.1%. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that hospitals imposed large price markups and retained a substantial share of total insurer spending on physician-administered drugs for patients with private insurance. The effects were especially large for hospitals eligible for discounts under the federal 340B Drug Pricing Program on acquisition costs paid to manufacturers. (Funded by Arnold Ventures and the National Institute for Health Care Management.).


Assuntos
Planos de Seguro Blue Cross Blue Shield , Honorários Farmacêuticos , Preços Hospitalares , Seguro Saúde , Preparações Farmacêuticas , Humanos , Planos de Seguro Blue Cross Blue Shield/economia , Planos de Seguro Blue Cross Blue Shield/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoal de Saúde , Hospitais , Seguradoras , Médicos/economia , Seguro Saúde/economia , Preparações Farmacêuticas/administração & dosagem , Preparações Farmacêuticas/economia , Setor Privado , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/economia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Infusões Parenterais/economia , Infusões Parenterais/estatística & dados numéricos , Economia Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos , Prática Profissional/economia , Prática Profissional/estatística & dados numéricos
2.
Drug Saf ; 47(1): 59-70, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37995048

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Prior molecular modelling analysis identified several medicines as potential inhibitors of glutathione peroxidase 1 (GPx1) which may contribute to development or progression of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study investigates 40 medicines (index medicines) for signals of COPD development or progression in a real-world dataset. METHODS: Sequence symmetry analysis (SSA) was conducted using a 10% extract of Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme (PBS) claims data between January 2013 and September 2019. Patients must have been initiated on an index medicine and a medicine for COPD development or progression within 12 months of each other. Sequence ratios were calculated as the number of patients who initiated an index medicine followed by a medicine for COPD development or progression divided by the number who initiated the index medicine second. An adjusted sequence ratio (aSR) was calculated which accounted for changes in prescribing trends. Adverse drug event signals (ADEs) were identified where the aSR lower 95% confidence interval (CI) was greater than 1. RESULTS: Twenty-one of 40 (53%) index medicines had at least one ADE signal of COPD development or progression. Signals of COPD development, as identified using initiation of tiotropium, were observed for atenolol (aSR 1.32, 95% CI 1.23-1.42) and naproxen (aSR 1.14, 95% CI 1.06-1.23). Several signals of COPD progression were observed, including initiation of fluticasone propionate/salmeterol following initiation of atenolol (aSR 1.44, 95% CI 1.30-1.60) and initiation of aclidinium/formoterol following initiation of naproxen (aSR 2.21, 95% CI 1.34-3.65). CONCLUSION: ADE signals were generated for several potential GPx1 inhibitors; however, further validation of signals is required in large well-controlled observational studies.


Assuntos
Prescrições de Medicamentos , Inibidores Enzimáticos , Glutationa Peroxidase GPX1 , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Humanos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Glutationa Peroxidase GPX1/antagonistas & inibidores , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Austrália , Inibidores Enzimáticos/efeitos adversos , Inibidores Enzimáticos/uso terapêutico , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Progressão da Doença
3.
JAMA ; 329(21): 1840-1847, 2023 06 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37278813

RESUMO

Importance: US hospitals report data on many health care quality metrics to government and independent health care rating organizations, but the annual cost to acute care hospitals of measuring and reporting quality metric data, independent of resources spent on quality interventions, is not well known. Objective: To evaluate externally reported inpatient quality metrics for adult patients and estimate the cost of data collection and reporting, independent of quality-improvement efforts. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective time-driven activity-based costing study at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (Baltimore, Maryland) with hospital personnel involved in quality metric reporting processes interviewed between January 1, 2019, and June 30, 2019, about quality reporting activities in the 2018 calendar year. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes included the number of metrics, annual person-hours per metric type, and annual personnel cost per metric type. Results: A total of 162 unique metrics were identified, of which 96 (59.3%) were claims-based, 107 (66.0%) were outcome metrics, and 101 (62.3%) were related to patient safety. Preparing and reporting data for these metrics required an estimated 108 478 person-hours, with an estimated personnel cost of $5 038 218.28 (2022 USD) plus an additional $602 730.66 in vendor fees. Claims-based (96 metrics; $37 553.58 per metric per year) and chart-abstracted (26 metrics; $33 871.30 per metric per year) metrics used the most resources per metric, while electronic metrics consumed far less (4 metrics; $1901.58 per metric per year). Conclusions and Relevance: Significant resources are expended exclusively for quality reporting, and some methods of quality assessment are far more expensive than others. Claims-based metrics were unexpectedly found to be the most resource intensive of all metric types. Policy makers should consider reducing the number of metrics and shifting to electronic metrics, when possible, to optimize resources spent in the overall pursuit of higher quality.


Assuntos
Hospitais , Registros Públicos de Dados de Cuidados de Saúde , Melhoria de Qualidade , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Humanos , Atenção à Saúde/economia , Atenção à Saúde/normas , Atenção à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais/normas , Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais/provisão & distribuição , Melhoria de Qualidade/economia , Melhoria de Qualidade/normas , Melhoria de Qualidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde/economia , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/economia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/normas , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Segurança do Paciente/economia , Segurança do Paciente/normas , Segurança do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Economia Hospitalar/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
BMC Psychiatry ; 23(1): 278, 2023 04 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37081408

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is limited consensus regarding the optimal treatment of insomnia. The recent introduction of orexin receptor antagonists (ORA) has increased the available treatment options. However, the prescribing patterns of hypnotics in Japan have not been comprehensively assessed. We performed analyses of a claims database to investigate the real-world use of hypnotics for treating insomnia in Japan. METHODS: Data were retrieved for outpatients (aged ≥ 20 to < 75 years old) prescribed ≥ 1 hypnotic for a diagnosis of insomnia between April 1st, 2009 and March 31st, 2020, with ≥ 12 months of continuous enrolment in the JMDC Claims Database. Patients were classified as new or long-term users of hypnotics. Long-term use was defined as prescription of the same mechanism of action (MOA) for ≥ 180 days. We analyzed the trends (2010-2019) and patterns (2018-2019) in hypnotics prescriptions. RESULTS: We analyzed data for 130,177 new and 91,215 long-term users (2010-2019). Most new users were prescribed one MOA per year (97.1%-97.9%). In 2010, GABAA-receptor agonists (benzodiazepines [BZD] or z-drugs) were prescribed to 94.0% of new users. Prescriptions for BZD declined from 54.8% of patients in 2010 to 30.5% in 2019, whereas z-drug prescriptions remained stable (~ 40%). Prescriptions for melatonin receptor agonist increased slightly (3.2% to 6.3%). Prescriptions for ORA increased over this time from 0% to 20.2%. Prescriptions for BZD alone among long-term users decreased steadily from 68.3% in 2010 to 49.7% in 2019. Prescriptions for ORA were lower among long-term users (0% in 2010, 4.3% in 2019) relative to new users. Using data from 2018-2019, multiple (≥ 2) MOAs were prescribed to a higher proportion of long-term (18.2%) than new (2.8%) users. The distribution of MOAs according to psychiatric comorbidities, segmented by age or sex, revealed higher proportions of BZD prescriptions in elderly (new and long-term users) and male (new users) patients in all comorbidity segments. CONCLUSION: Prescriptions for hypnotics among new and long-term users in Japan showed distinct patterns and trends. Further understanding of the treatment options for insomnia with accumulating evidence for the risk-benefit balance might be beneficial for physicians prescribing hypnotics in real-world settings.


Assuntos
Prescrições de Medicamentos , Medicamentos Indutores do Sono , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono , Idoso , Humanos , Masculino , Benzodiazepinas/uso terapêutico , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , População do Leste Asiático , Hipnóticos e Sedativos/uso terapêutico , Japão/epidemiologia , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono/tratamento farmacológico , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono/epidemiologia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Receptores de Melatonina/agonistas , Agonistas de Receptores de GABA-A/uso terapêutico , Antagonistas dos Receptores de Orexina/uso terapêutico , Medicamentos Indutores do Sono/uso terapêutico
5.
Respir Res ; 23(1): 24, 2022 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35135550

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a cryptogenic chronic interstitial pneumonia with progressive fibrosis and a poor prognosis. A substantial number of epidemiological studies have been conducted in Europe and the United States (US). In contrast, in Japan, only one study reported the prevalence of IPF (10.0 per 100,000 population) using clinical data (2003-2007) from one prefecture; thus, the nationwide prevalence of IPF remains unknown. This study aimed to estimate the nationwide prevalence of IPF in Japan using a nationwide claims database. METHODS: We extracted data from a Japanese claims database provided by Medical Data Vision (MDV database, April 2008-March 2019) containing data from approximately 28 million patients from 385 acute-care hospitals. Patients with IPF (those diagnosed with IPF at least once) from April 2017 to March 2018 were identified in the MDV database. The number of patients in the MDV database was extrapolated nationwide using the fourth NDB Open Data (April 2017-March 2018), and the prevalence was estimated using demographic data as denominators. The prevalence in the US, considering the same definition of IPF, was also calculated and compared with that in Japan. RESULT: The number of patients with IPF in the MDV database was 4278. The estimated nationwide number of patients in Japan was estimated to be 34,040 (mean age: 73 years, percentage of men: 73%), and the prevalence was 27 per 100,000 population. In comparison with that in the US, the prevalence was similar in men and relatively lower in women until the age of 75-79 years, and it was notably lower in both sexes aged ≥ 80 years. CONCLUSIONS: We report the nationwide IPF prevalence in Japan using data from claims databases for the first time. The prevalence estimated in this study was higher than that reported in a previous study. The difference might be due to differences in study settings and definitions of IPF. Further research should be performed to determine the prevalence more accurately and compare it with those in other countries.


Assuntos
Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Fibrose Pulmonar Idiopática/epidemiologia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por Sexo
6.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 70(2): 470-480, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34773706

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dementia is associated with increased risk of hospitalization and emergency department (ED) visits. Many persons with dementia are undiagnosed or unaware of their diagnosis, however. Our objective was to determine whether undiagnosed dementia or unawareness affects risk of hospitalization or ED visits. METHODS: Retrospective longitudinal cohort study of 3537 community-living adults age ≥65 enrolled in the 2011-2017 National Health and Aging Trends Study with linked fee-for-service Medicare claims. Using self or proxy reported diagnosis, proxy dementia screening questionnaire, cognitive testing, and Medicare claims diagnosis, participants were classified as having (1) no dementia or dementia, for which they were classified as (2) undiagnosed, (3) diagnosed but unaware, or (4) diagnosed and aware. Proportional hazards models evaluated all-cause and potentially preventable hospitalization and ED visit risk by time-varying dementia status, adjusting for older adult characteristics. RESULTS: Most participants (n = 2879) had no dementia at baseline. Among participants with dementia at baseline (n = 658), 187 were undiagnosed, 300 diagnosed but unaware, and 171 diagnosed and aware. In multivariable adjusted proportional hazards models, persons with undiagnosed dementia had lower risk of hospitalization and ED visits compared to persons diagnosed and aware (all-cause hospitalization aHR 0.59 [0.44, 0.79] and ED visit aHR 0.63 [0.47, 0.85]) and similar risks of these outcomes compared to persons without dementia. Individuals diagnosed but unaware had greater risk compared to those without dementia: aHR 1.37 (1.18, 1.59) for all-cause hospitalization and 1.48 (1.28, 1.71) for ED visits; they experienced risk comparable to individuals diagnosed and aware. CONCLUSION: Older adults with undiagnosed dementia are not at increased risk of acute care utilization after accounting for differences in other characteristics. Individuals unaware of diagnosed dementia demonstrate risk similar to individuals aware of the diagnosis. Increasing diagnosis alone may not affect acute care utilization. The role of awareness warrants further investigation.


Assuntos
Conscientização , Demência/diagnóstico , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados Unidos
7.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 70(2): 522-530, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34687550

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multiple algorithms have been developed to identify and characterize the high-need (HN) Medicare population. However, they vary in components and yield different populations, and were developed for varying purposes. We compared the performance of existing survey and claims-based definitions in identifying HN beneficiaries and predicting poor outcomes among a community-dwelling population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using Round 5 (2015) of the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS) linked with Medicare claims. We applied HN definitions from previous studies to our cohort of community-dwelling, fee-for-service beneficiaries (n = 4201) using sampling weights to obtain nationally representative estimates. The Bélanger et al. (2019) definition defines HN as individuals with complex conditions, multi-morbidity, acute and post-acute healthcare utilization, dependency in activities of daily living, and frailty. The Hayes et al. (2016) definition defines HN as individuals with 3+ chronic conditions and a functional limitation. We applied each definition to survey and claims data. Outcomes were hospitalization or mortality in the subsequent year. RESULTS: The proportion of NHATS respondents classified as HN varied greatly across definitions, ranging from 3.1% using the claims-based Hayes definition to 32.9% using the survey-based Bélanger definition. HN respondents had significantly higher mortality and hospitalization rates in 2016. Although all definitions had good specificity, none were able to predict outcomes in the following year with good accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: While mortality and hospitalization rates were significantly higher among respondents classified as HN, existing claims and survey-based HN definitions were not able to accurately predict future outcomes in a community-dwelling, nationally representative sample measured by the area under the curve.


Assuntos
Comorbidade , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Atividades Cotidianas , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença Crônica , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado , Feminino , Fragilidade , Humanos , Vida Independente/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Mortalidade/tendências , Estudos Retrospectivos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estados Unidos
8.
Ophthalmology ; 129(3): 334-343, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34648828

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To identify if noninfectious uveitis (NIU) is associated with a greater risk of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection, hospitalization, and death. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study from January 20, 2020 to December 31, 2020, using a national claims-based database. PARTICIPANTS: Enrollees who had continuous enrollment with both medical and pharmacy coverage for 3 years before January 20, 2020. Patients with an NIU diagnosis within 3 years of the start of the study were included in the NIU cohort. Those with infectious uveitis codes or new NIU diagnoses during the risk period were excluded. METHODS: Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and adjusted HRs for all covariates for each outcome measure. Adjusted models accounted for patient demographics, health status, and immunosuppressive medication use during the risk period. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Rates of COVID-19 infection, COVID-19-related hospitalization, and COVID-19-related in-hospital death identified with International Classification of Disease 10th revision codes. RESULTS: This study included 5 806 227 patients, of whom 29 869 (0.5%) had a diagnosis of NIU. On unadjusted analysis, patients with NIU had a higher rate of COVID-19 infection (5.7% vs. 4.5%, P < 0.001), COVID-19-related hospitalization (1.2% vs. 0.6%, P < 0.001), and COVID-19-related death (0.3% vs. 0.1%, P < 0.001). However, in adjusted models, NIU was not associated with a greater risk of COVID-19 infection (HR, 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-1.10; P = 0.04), hospitalization (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.88-1.09; P = 0.67), or death (HR, 0.90, 95% CI, 0.72-1.13, P = 0.37). Use of systemic corticosteroids was significantly associated with a higher risk of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and death. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NIU were significantly more likely to be infected with COVID-19 and experience severe disease outcomes. However, this association was due to the demographics, comorbidities, and medications of patients with NIU, rather than NIU alone. Patients using systemic corticosteroids were significantly more likely to be infected with COVID-19 and were at greater risk of hospitalization and in-hospital death. Additional investigation is necessary to identify the impact of corticosteroid exposure on COVID-19-related outcomes.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , SARS-CoV-2 , Uveíte/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Uveíte/diagnóstico , Uveíte/tratamento farmacológico
9.
J Alzheimers Dis ; 85(3): 1301-1308, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34924375

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Periodontal disease and hepatitis C virus (HCV) represent chronic infectious states that are common in elderly adults. Both conditions have independently been associated with an increased risk for dementia. Chronic infections are thought to lead to neurodegenerative changes in the central nervous system possibly by promoting a proinflammatory state. This is consistent with growing literature on the etiological role of infections in dementia. Few studies have previously evaluated the association of periodontal disease with dementia in HCV patients. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether periodontal disease increases the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) among HCV patients in Medicare claims data. METHODS: We used Medicare claims data for HCV patients to assess the incidence rate of ADRD with and without exposure to periodontal disease between 2014 and 2017. Cox multivariate regression was used to estimate the association between periodontal disease and development of ADRD, controlling for age, gender, race, ZIP-level income and education, and medical comorbidities. RESULTS: Of 439,760 HCV patients, the incidence rate of ADRD was higher in patients with periodontal diseases compared to those without (10.84% versus 9.26%, p < 0.001), and those with periodontal disease developed ADRD earlier compared to those without periodontal disease (13.99 versus 21.60 months, p < 0.001). The hazard of developing ADRD was 1.35 times higher in those with periodontal disease (95% CI, 1.30 to 1.40, p < 0.001) after adjusting for all covariates, including age. CONCLUSION: Periodontal disease increased the risk of developing ADRD among HCV patients in a national Medicare claims dataset.


Assuntos
Demência/epidemiologia , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Doenças Periodontais/epidemiologia , Idoso , Comorbidade , Feminino , Hepacivirus/isolamento & purificação , Humanos , Incidência , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicare , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
10.
Thromb Haemost ; 122(1): 142-150, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33765685

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are few large studies examining and predicting the diversified cardiovascular/noncardiovascular comorbidity relationships with stroke. We investigated stroke risks in a very large prospective cohort of patients with multimorbidity, using two common clinical rules, a clinical multimorbid index and a machine-learning (ML) approach, accounting for the complex relationships among variables, including the dynamic nature of changing risk factors. METHODS: We studied a prospective U.S. cohort of 3,435,224 patients from medical databases in a 2-year investigation. Stroke outcomes were examined in relationship to diverse multimorbid conditions, demographic variables, and other inputs, with ML accounting for the dynamic nature of changing multimorbidity risk factors, two clinical risk scores, and a clinical multimorbid index. RESULTS: Common clinical risk scores had moderate and comparable c indices with stroke outcomes in the training and external validation samples (validation-CHADS2: c index 0.812, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.808-0.815; CHA2DS2-VASc: c index 0.809, 95% CI 0.805-0.812). A clinical multimorbid index had higher discriminant validity values for both the training/external validation samples (validation: c index 0.850, 95% CI 0.847-0.853). The ML-based algorithms yielded the highest discriminant validity values for the gradient boosting/neural network logistic regression formulations with no significant differences among the ML approaches (validation for logistic regression: c index 0.866, 95% CI 0.856-0.876). Calibration of the ML-based formulation was satisfactory across a wide range of predicted probabilities. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that clinical utility for the ML-based formulation was better than that for the two current clinical rules and the newly developed multimorbid tool. Also, ML models and clinical stroke risk scores were more clinically useful than the "treat all" strategy. CONCLUSION: Complex relationships of various comorbidities uncovered using a ML approach for diverse (and dynamic) multimorbidity changes have major consequences for stroke risk prediction. This approach may facilitate automated approaches for dynamic risk stratification in the significant presence of multimorbidity, helping in the decision-making process for risk assessment and integrated/holistic management.


Assuntos
Aprendizado de Máquina/normas , Medição de Risco/normas , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/classificação , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Logísticos , Aprendizado de Máquina/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Multimorbidade/tendências , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
12.
P R Health Sci J ; 40(3): 103-109, 2021 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34792922

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Inflammatory Bowel Disease has increased in Hispanics. This study estimates its prevalence in Puerto Rico for 2013 and compares it with prior reports. METHODS: The database of commercial and government insurance claims of the Department of Health for 2013 was used. A case was defined as having at least two medical claims of outpatient services or one or more hospitalizations and emergency department visits with an ICD-9 code for Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis. Cases with codes for both were classified as undetermined inflammatory bowel disease. Prevalence was calculated for inflammatory bowel disease, Crohn's disease, and ulcerative colitis overall and by age, sex, and health insurance. RESULTS: 5,378 persons were classified as having inflammatory bowel disease, for an overall prevalence of 181.54/100,000. Of these, 2,154 had Crohn's disease and 2,689 had ulcerative colitis, with prevalences of 72.71 and 90.77/100,000 respectively. Crohn's disease was more prevalent in males and ulcerative colitis in females. Both types were more prevalent in the government insured population. 719 children had inflammatory bowel disease, for a prevalence of 89.8/100,000. Of these, 480 were classified as Crohn´s disease and 169 as ulcerative colitis. Prevalences for pediatric Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis were 60.0 and 21.2/100,000 respectively. CONCLUSION: When compared with a report for 2005, the prevalence for inflammatory bowel disease in Puerto Rico for 2013 showed a 4-fold increase overall and a 3-fold increase in children. Inflammatory bowel disease was more prevalent in government-insured as opposed to commercially insured persons, in contrast with previous findings.


Assuntos
Colite Ulcerativa/epidemiologia , Doença de Crohn , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/epidemiologia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Criança , Atenção à Saúde , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalência , Porto Rico/epidemiologia
13.
J Alzheimers Dis ; 84(2): 807-817, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34602465

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease (AD) can increase both medical care and long-term care (LTC) costs, but the latter are frequently neglected in estimates of AD's economic burden. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the economic burden of new AD cases in Japan by estimating patient-level medical care and LTC expenditures over 3 years using a longitudinal database. METHODS: The study was performed using monthly claims data from residents of 6 municipalities in Japan. We identified patients with new AD diagnoses between April 2015 and March 2016 with 3 years of follow-up data. Medical care and LTC expenditures were estimated from 1 year before onset until 3 years after onset. To quantify the additional AD-attributable expenditures, AD patients were matched with non-AD controls using propensity scores, and their differences in expenditures were calculated. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, the AD group and non-AD group each comprised 1748 individuals for analysis (AD group: mean age±standard deviation, 81.9±7.6 years; women, 66.0%). The total additional expenditures peaked at $1398 in the first month, followed by $1192 and $1031 in the second and third months, respectively. The additional LTC expenditures increased substantially 3 months after AD onset ($227), and gradually increased thereafter. These additional LTC expenditures eventually exceeded the additional medical care expenditures in the second year after AD onset. CONCLUSION: Although total AD-attributable expenditures peaked just after disease onset, the impact of LTC on these expenditures rose over time. Failure to include LTC expenditures would severely underestimate the economic burden of AD.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/economia , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Japão , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Assistência ao Paciente/economia
14.
PLoS One ; 16(9): e0254394, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34570785

RESUMO

Identification of medical conditions using claims data is generally conducted with algorithms based on subject-matter knowledge. However, these claims-based algorithms (CBAs) are highly dependent on the knowledge level and not necessarily optimized for target conditions. We investigated whether machine learning methods can supplement researchers' knowledge of target conditions in building CBAs. Retrospective cohort study using a claims database combined with annual health check-up results of employees' health insurance programs for fiscal year 2016-17 in Japan (study population for hypertension, N = 631,289; diabetes, N = 152,368; dyslipidemia, N = 614,434). We constructed CBAs with logistic regression, k-nearest neighbor, support vector machine, penalized logistic regression, tree-based model, and neural network for identifying patients with three common chronic conditions: hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. We then compared their association measures using a completely hold-out test set (25% of the study population). Among the test cohorts of 157,822, 38,092, and 153,608 enrollees for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, 25.4%, 8.4%, and 38.7% of them had a diagnosis of the corresponding condition. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) of the logistic regression with/without subject-matter knowledge about the target condition were .923/.921 for hypertension, .957/.938 for diabetes, and .739/.747 for dyslipidemia. The logistic lasso, logistic elastic-net, and tree-based methods yielded AUCs comparable to those of the logistic regression with subject-matter knowledge: .923-.931 for hypertension; .958-.966 for diabetes; .747-.773 for dyslipidemia. We found that machine learning methods can attain AUCs comparable to the conventional knowledge-based method in building CBAs.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Dislipidemias/diagnóstico , Hipertensão/diagnóstico , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Doença Crônica , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Redes Neurais de Computação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte
15.
Health Serv Res ; 56 Suppl 3: 1370-1382, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34490633

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To identify and explore differences in spending and utilization of key health services at the end of life among hip fracture patients across seven developed countries. DATA SOURCES: Individual-level claims data from the inpatient and outpatient health care sectors compiled by the International Collaborative on Costs, Outcomes, and Needs in Care (ICCONIC). STUDY DESIGN: We retrospectively analyzed utilization and spending from acute hospital care, emergency department, outpatient primary care and specialty physician visits, and outpatient drugs. Patterns of spending and utilization were compared in the last 30, 90, and 180 days across Australia, Canada, England, Germany, New Zealand, Spain, and the United States. We employed linear regression models to measure age- and sex-specific effects within and across countries. In addition, we analyzed hospital-centricity, that is, the days spent in hospital and site of death. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: We identified patients who sustained a hip fracture in 2016 and died within 12 months from date of admission. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Resource use, costs, and the proportion of deaths in hospital showed large variability being high in England and Spain, while low in New Zealand. Days in hospital significantly decreased with increasing age in Canada, Germany, Spain, and the United States. Hospital spending near date of death was significantly lower for women in Canada, Germany, and the United States. The age gradient and the sex effect were less pronounced in utilization and spending of emergency care, outpatient care, and drugs. CONCLUSIONS: Across seven countries, we find important variations in end-of-life care for patients who sustained a hip fracture, with some differences explained by sex and age. Our work sheds important insights that may help ongoing health policy discussions on equity, efficiency, and reimbursement in health care systems.


Assuntos
Comparação Transcultural , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Fraturas do Quadril , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Assistência Terminal/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Austrália , Países Desenvolvidos , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Fraturas do Quadril/economia , Fraturas do Quadril/cirurgia , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , América do Norte , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Sexuais
17.
Int Heart J ; 62(5): 997-1004, 2021 Sep 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34544976

RESUMO

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has been an established and frequently utilized approach in a variety of clinical settings. Nevertheless, real-world data about the clinical course of AF patients after initial catheter ablation remain limited, and these are mainly derived from particular registries or selected high-volume centers.In this study, we used health check-ups and insurance claims database from a Japanese insurance organization. The study population was comprised of 1777 patients who underwent catheter ablation for AF before June 2016. During the 3-year follow-up period, 396 (22.3%) patients underwent at least one repeated AF ablation, while 74 (4.2%) underwent two or more repeated ablations. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, longer time after AF diagnosis (7-11 months and ≥12 months versus 1-6 months) (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08 and HR, 1.04; 95% CI 1.02-1.07) was independently associated with repeated ablation. The discontinuation rates of OACs and AADs after the first ablation were 26.7% and 63.0% at 3 months and 75.2% and 89.1% at 1 year after the initial ablation, respectively. The former was independently associated with shorter time after AF diagnosis and lower diastolic blood pressure, whereas the latter was independently associated with older age, smaller CHADS2 score, and shorter time after AF diagnosis.We presented real-world data regarding the clinical course of young Japanese AF patients after initial catheter ablation based on a claims database in Japan.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial/diagnóstico , Fibrilação Atrial/cirurgia , Ablação por Cateter/métodos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Antiarrítmicos/uso terapêutico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Ablação por Cateter/estatística & dados numéricos , Comorbidade , Inibidores do Fator Xa/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Análise de Regressão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
19.
Horm Res Paediatr ; 94(5-6): 219-228, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34425572

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is defined by persistent deficits in communication, socialization, and stereotypic behaviors. It was previously hypothesized that hormone dysfunction is a frequent occurrence among children diagnosed with an ASD. OBJECTIVES: A hypothesis-testing epidemiological study examined the relationship between precocious puberty (PP) (a known disorder of childhood sex hormone dysfunction) and ASD diagnoses. METHODS: The Independent Healthcare Research Database is composed of de-identified linked eligibility and claims health-care records prospectively generated from the Florida Medicaid system. A cohort of 101,736 children eligible for Florida Medicaid from 1990 to 2009 and continuously eligible with ≥10 outpatient office visits during the 120-month period following birth were examined using SAS and StatsDirect software. There were 1,593 children (15,738 person-years) in the ASD diagnosed cohort utilizing the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th revision criteria (the International Code for Disease, 9th revision [ICD-9] codes: 299.00 or 299.80) and 100,143 children (996,835 person-years) in the undiagnosed cohort. RESULTS: The incidence rate of PP (ICD-9 code: 259.1) was examined using Cox proportional hazards ratio (HR) and frequency models. PP per 10,000 person-years in the ASD cohort (43.2) relative to the undiagnosed cohort (13.7) was significantly increased in frequency modeling (risk ratio = 3.15, p < 0.0001) and Cox proportional HR modeling (adjusted HR = 4.64, p < 0.0001). Further analyses revealed the incidence rate of PP diagnosed after 3 years of age was significantly increased (adjusted HR = 5.16, p < 0.0001) in the ASD cohort relative to the undiagnosed cohort but not for the incidence rate of PP diagnosed before 3 years (adjusted HR = 1.57, p = 0.44). CONCLUSION: This hypothesis-testing study provides strong evidence of an increased incidence rate of PP among children diagnosed with an ASD.


Assuntos
Transtorno do Espectro Autista/epidemiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Puberdade Precoce/epidemiologia , Criança , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Florida , Humanos , Incidência , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Medicaid , Estados Unidos
20.
J Gastroenterol ; 56(10): 903-913, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34215929

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although the effect of the early detection of colorectal cancer (CRC) on medical costs needs to be clarified, there are few reports on the actual medical costs of CRC patients in Japan. We aimed to identify medical costs according to CRC stage, using health insurance claims. METHODS: This observational study included CRC patients who had received specific treatment for CRC, which was defined by the procedure code and the claim computer processing system code associated with the treatment of CRC. CRC patients who underwent endoscopic or radical surgical treatment were defined as the curable group and those with palliative treatment, including palliative chemotherapy, as the non-curable group. Total medical costs and medical costs of specific treatments for CRC for 3 years were measured using the claims held by Hachioji City from May 2014 to July 2019. RESULTS: This study included 442 patients in the curable group, including 267 patients who underwent endoscopic treatment, and 175 patients who underwent radical surgical treatment, and 161 patients in the non-curable group. The mean (standard deviation) total medical costs in the curable and non-curable groups were 2,130 (2,494) and 8,279 (5,600) thousand Japanese Yen (JPY), respectively. The mean (standard deviation) medical costs for the specific treatment of CRC in the curable and non-curable groups were 408 (352) and 3,685 (3,479) thousand JPY, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We clarified the actual medical costs of CRC in curable and non-curable groups. These results suggest the effect of early detection of CRC in reducing medical costs.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros/estatística & dados numéricos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias/economia , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/classificação , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Seguro Saúde/normas , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias/métodos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias/estatística & dados numéricos
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